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American Express10-K: Inflation impact

AXP increased credit loss reserves due to a deteriorating macroeconomic outlook.

What happened

The company's reserve build for credit losses is directly influenced by a worsening macroeconomic outlook, creating a pain point around risk modeling. This signals a potential need for enhanced predictive analytics and sophisticated risk management tools to mitigate future losses.

Source

SEC EDGARFeb 6, 2026

Annual report (Form 10-K)

American Express 10-K for FY2025

Filing excerpt

The reserve build in the current year was primarily driven by an increase in loans outstanding and deterioration in the macroeconomic outlook used in our reserve models, partially offset by the release of a reserve upon the reclassification of a small business cobrand portfolio to Card Member loans HFS from held for investment.

sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/4962/000000496226000080/axp-20251231.htmRead the full source

Other signals in this filing (10)

Extracted by Autobound

From the Signal API record
Signal
10-K: Inflation impact

What this signalsFilings often name leadership changes, deals and spending plans.

Period
FY2025
Fiscal year end
12/31
Filed
Feb 6, 2026

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The full record

From the Signal API record

Numbers

Dollar figure
$198M (Card Member loans reserve build)

Details

CIK
4962
Accession number
0000004962-26-000080
Timeframe
Current year
Filing year
2026
Why it matters
Efficiency tools needed
Signal category
Operations

Topics and mentions

Vendors

  • Center
  • Delta Air Lines
  • Marriott International
  • British Airways
  • Hilton Worldwide Holdings
  • Coinbase
  • Credit Saison
  • Emburse

Extraction

Confidence
High
Relevance
75%
Sentiment
Negative
Detected
Feb 10, 2026
signal_type
sec-10k
signal_subtype
inflationImpact

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The API returns more than this page shows

This page shows a preview. The full sec-10k record in the Signal API and MCP can also have these 8 fields. Some fields are empty for some signals.

Company

  • linkedin_urlValue in the API
  • industriesValue in the API
  • employee_count_lowValue in the API
  • employee_count_highValue in the API
  • revenueValue in the API
  • descriptionValue in the API

Signal

  • signal_nameValue in the API
  • associationValue in the API
Show the full JSONThe record on this page and the API request

GET /v1/signals/063c1c4e-db6f-4c58-9283-a32ffaeae918 returns this record as JSON. POST /v1/companies/enrich returns every signal for americanexpress.com.

{
  "signal_id": "063c1c4e-db6f-4c58-9283-a32ffaeae918",
  "signal_type": "sec-10k",
  "signal_subtype": "inflationImpact",
  "detected_at": "2026-02-10T07:48:41.517+00:00",
  "company": {
    "name": "American Express",
    "domain": "americanexpress.com"
  },
  "data": {
    "detail": "The company's reserve build for credit losses is directly influenced by a worsening macroeconomic outlook, creating a pain point around risk modeling. This signals a potential need for enhanced predictive analytics and sophisticated risk management tools to mitigate future losses.",
    "metrics": {
      "timeframe": "current_year",
      "dollar_context": "Card Member loans reserve build",
      "dollar_millions": 198
    },
    "summary": "AXP increased credit loss reserves due to a deteriorating macroeconomic outlook.",
    "excerpts": "The reserve build in the current year was primarily driven by an increase in loans outstanding and deterioration in the macroeconomic outlook used in our reserve models, partially offset by the release of a reserve upon the reclassification of a small business cobrand portfolio to Card Member loans HFS from held for investment.",
    "relevance": 0.75,
    "sentiment": "negative",
    "confidence": "high",
    "source_url": "https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/4962/000000496226000080/axp-20251231.htm",
    "filing_date": "2026-02-06",
    "filing_year": 2026,
    "fiscal_year_end": "12/31",
    "sales_relevance": "Efficiency tools needed",
    "signal_category": "operations",
    "vendors_mentioned": [
      "Center",
      "Delta Air Lines",
      "Marriott International",
      "British Airways",
      "Hilton Worldwide Holdings",
      "Coinbase",
      "Credit Saison",
      "Emburse"
    ]
  }
}

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