TSMC is set to post a sixth straight record quarter on AI chip demand
Article excerpt
Nvidia's chips don't exist without TSMC's factories, and this week TSMC's own books will say more about the AI boom's health than any stock chart can. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. reports third-quarter earnings on October 15, and the number everyone in Hsinchu and Santa Clara already expects is a record. TSMC flagged record revenue of NT$1.49 trillion for the July-to-September quarter back on October 8. That's roughly $46.71 billion, up 50% from a year earlier, and ahead of the NT$1.46 trillion that an LSEG SmartEstimate of 19 analysts had penciled in. An LSEG SmartEstimate also points to net profit rising 64% year over year to roughly NT$740.8 billion. If that holds on Thursday, it will be TSMC's sixth consecutive quarter of record profit. That streak matters beyond the scoreboard. TSMC makes the actual silicon inside Nvidia's Blackwell and Vera Rubin chips, AMD's MI series, and Apple's processors. That makes its quarterly print one of the few hard, auditable readings on whether AI capital spending is turning into real revenue or just circulating between a handful of companies on paper. Every dollar in TSMC's revenue line is a chip someone already paid to have fabricated, not a projection. High-performance computing is TSMC's catch-all for AI accelerators, data center silicon and gaming GPUs. It made up 66% of revenue in the second quarter, with revenue in that...
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Its data-center revenue hit $89.0 billion in the quarter ended July 26, 2026, up 18% sequentially and 117% from a year earlier.
