Tesla Earnings Prediction Market Preview: Will Elon Musk Discuss a SpaceX Merger?

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    "url": "https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/tesla-earnings-prediction-market-preview-122645488.html",
    "title": "Tesla Earnings Prediction Market Preview: Will Elon Musk Discuss a SpaceX Merger? - Yahoo Finance",
    "ticker": "NASDAQ:TSLA",
    "contact": "Mike Snyder",
    "excerpt": "Benzinga and Yahoo Finance LLC may earn commission or revenue on some items through the links below. Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA ) reports third-quarter earnings after the bell Wednesday, a day after CEO Elon Musk confirmed that independent committees are exploring a merger with SpaceX (NASDAQ: SPCX ). Analysts expect adjusted earnings of 43 cents a share on $27.88 billion in revenue, both below year-ago levels. Tesla delivered 486,532 vehicles last quarter, beating estimates but falling 2% year over year. Shares are down roughly 17% this year. Polymarket gives Tesla just a 36% chance of beating earnings expectations, but the more interesting action is on Kalshi , where traders are betting on what Musk and his team will say. \"Cybercab\" and \"Robotaxi\" both trade at 99%. Tesla has registered nearly 350 Cybercabs in Austin, but only 187 are active, according to MarketWatch. \"Terafab\" sits at 92%. Musk said Tuesday that his chipmaking project aims to produce its first test chip by mid-2027, with volume production targeted for 2028. \"Regulator / Regulatory / Regulation\" trades at 91%. Federal safety officials are investigating whether Tesla's steering-wheel-free Cybercab complies with vehicle safety standards, potentially complicating its expansion. \"SpaceX / xAI\" stands at 89%, although either name qualifies. Musk outlined potential benefits of a merger Tuesday, including shared AI...",
    "summary": "Tesla energy division chief Mike Snyder departed from the company.",
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    "published_at": "2026-10-21T12:26:45Z",
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