Applied Materials Beat Every Number and Wall Street Sold the Stock Anyway
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Applied Materials beat Wall Street's numbers, raised its outlook and still got punished. That's what happens when a stock has already been priced for something close to perfection. Applied Materials gave investors the quarter they usually ask for on August 13: record revenue, record adjusted earnings and guidance above Wall Street's forecasts. The stock sold off anyway. The chipmaking equipment company reported fiscal third-quarter revenue of $9.115 billion for the period ended July 26, up 25% from a year earlier, according to Applied Materials' own release. Non-GAAP earnings were $3.50 a share, up 41%. Non-GAAP free cash flow came in at $2.33 billion, and the company guided fourth-quarter revenue to $10.25 billion, plus or minus $500 million. That's not a miss. It isn't even close. But you can see the problem as soon as you look at the stock. Applied Materials shares had roughly doubled in 2026 even after Friday's drop, Investopedia noted, and MarketWatch showed the stock had closed at $534.54 on August 13 before the earnings reaction hit. When a stock runs that hard, a good quarter stops being enough. Investors start asking whether the next one can be better still. Reuters reports that Anthropic's push for a roughly $2 trillion IPO valuation hinges on an internal forecast of $190 billion to $200 billion in 2028 revenue, more than four times its current $47 billion run rate...
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