Micron Stock Faces a High-Bar Earnings Test After a 280% Rally
Article excerpt
Micron Technology (NASDAQ: MU) reports fiscal fourth-quarter results on Wednesday, and Micron Stock heads into the release up roughly 280% this year. A rally of that size changes how investors judge the results. A clean beat may not be enough on its own, and the company’s guidance for the coming months could matter just as much as the quarter it’s reporting. The figures Wall Street expects are enormous. Analysts project revenue of $51.07 billion, about four and a half times the $11.32 billion Micron reported in the same quarter a year ago. Adjusted earnings are forecast at $31.52 per share, compared with $3.03 last year. Investors will also be watching for more than the headline numbers. Updates on high-bandwidth memory supply, a new ultra-dense server module, and a U.S. investment plan that runs through 2035 all give Wednesday’s call plenty to cover. Consensus estimates show how far the business has moved in twelve months. For the first quarter of fiscal 2027, the Street currently models revenue near $57.2 billion and earnings of $35.36 per share. That would be another record. Measured against this quarter’s estimates, though, it implies sequential growth of roughly 12% in both revenue and EPS, a noticeably slower pace than the jumps of recent quarters. That gap is where the risk lies. With the shares priced for continued strength, any sign that growth is leveling off...
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The company also said HBM4 has reached high-volume shipments, with qualification samples delivered to several additional customers.