Shein will struggle to justify US$40-50 billion Hong Kong IPO valuation
Article excerpt
SINGAPORE/HONG KONG -- Investors are expected to scrutinize whether Shein can justify the US$40 billion to $50 billion valuation it is seeking in a Hong Kong initial public offering after a prospectus filed on Sunday showed slowing growth and a sharp decline in profitability. Revenue rose 8 per cent to $41.8 billion in 2025, but net income fell 39 per cent to $2.06 billion. In the first quarter of this year, the fast fashion retailer swung to a $99 million loss, the filing showed. While the quarterly loss partly reflected a $328 million fair-value charge on convertible redeemable preferred shares following an accounting change, slowing revenue growth and weaker core earnings underscore the company’s mounting challenges. “Institutional investors on the HKEX (Hong Kong Stock Exchange) will ... zero in on the 2.9 per cent operating margin,” said Winston Ma, executive director of the Global Public Investment Funds Forum and a former managing director at the China Investment Corporation. “Investors will re-price Shein away from a pure hyper-growth tech platform toward a physical retail and logistics player navigating high-friction global trade.” The narrowing margin adds to concerns that Shein’s rapid rise is encountering headwinds from higher trade costs, increased regulatory scrutiny and intensifying competition in global e-commerce. The company said that the removal of the U.S...
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The prospectus showed Shein’s valuation fell from $98.2 billion following a fundraising round in 2022 to $64 billion after another funding round in 2024.
